WolfWire

The weekly postgame report: who won the week, what the crowd predicted against what actually happened, how the model did, and the week ahead.

Game 1, NC State at Virginia #

Virginia 34, NC State 8. Nobody hit the top band and the model beat 238 entrants.

Recap

I've got nothing else.

Final: Virginia 34, NC State 8

Weekly winner

cardiacpack1887, 35 points. Picked NC State 17, Virginia 35. Off by 10 combined, right winner, won outright with no tiebreaker needed.

Runners up at 30: saarab (off by 12), fireguyone4 (off by 13), hymansays and km55 (off by 15).

The crowd

333 picks in. Average call was NC State 29, Virginia 25.

  • 96 people had the winner right, 28.8%
  • Nobody landed the top band
  • 239 people, 71.8%, were off by 26 or more
  • No exact scores
  • Median combined error was 30, best was 10, worst was 56

The Model

Predicted Virginia 29, NC State 24. Off by 21, right winner, 20 points.

Would have finished 45th of 331 if it were eligible, beating 238 entrants.

The bets

Season: 0-4, -5.5 units

  1. OPEN, State over 7.5 wins
  2. LOSS, State moneyline, +180, 1 unit
  3. LOSS, Bailey and Gause anytime TD parlay, 0.5 units
  4. LOSS, Keenan Jackson over 30.5 receiving yards, 2 units
  5. LOSS, State over 23.5 team total, 2 units

Next up

Richmond at home, Friday Sep 11. Game 2 is already open, since each
game opens the morning after the last one is played. Picks lock at 6:50 PM
Eastern, ten minutes before the 7:00 PM kickoff.